I find this area really interesting. Computers and people function very differently. Trying to program a computer to operate within the chaos that is human driving seems like a rather difficult task. Organic life doesn't respect rules like digital. I really don't we are in a place where fully autonomous cars are viable. Maybe in another 20 years.
Regardless of WHEN its fully viable, we know and HAVE known for decades now, but we have dont ZILCH to prepare, what makes that SO BAD, is that our great-great grandparents went through mass displacement by machines and STILL did nothing to prepare for it...
I fear, that will be the legitimization of communism...
Communism maybe not but heavy state reliance yes. I also imagine that at one point in the future there will be places where people won't be allowed to drive only computers.
ugh... the idea humans wont be allowed to drive is sad... for a shit load of us, driving is part of our culture... and that will be erased and be just A-okay!
20 years? No way. AI is advancing way too fast to have to wait that long. I think you're way underestimating what AI models can do with the chaotic information they receive from the autonomous car sensors. And the way the AI models train themselves, it's not so much that we're programming the fine details as much as we're giving overall guidance and the computer is teaching itself how to meet those goals. And on top of it all, we don't even have to get to 100% safe autonomous driving before we should absolutely switch over. We just have to be better than people, who crash and have accidents all the time. Once AIs make 1% fewer mistakes than humans, if we switch over completely and immediately we'll start saving [over 370 lives per year](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motor_vehicle_fatality_rate_in_U.S._by_year). And that's just 1% better!
But for every mistake testing stops. Cities don't want to risk human lives letting companies test out full automation. I assume industrial applications will come first then slowly work into commercial. Things that don't interact with people much, planes, trains and ships, are already pretty automatic, but I really think the mixing of fully automated vehicles and the general public are still a ways off. If not for dev reasons then for liability reasons.
I find this area really interesting. Computers and people function very differently. Trying to program a computer to operate within the chaos that is human driving seems like a rather difficult task. Organic life doesn't respect rules like digital. I really don't we are in a place where fully autonomous cars are viable. Maybe in another 20 years.
8 comments
1 u/None 11 Jul 2020 14:12
1 u/WinstonThe9th [OP] 11 Jul 2020 14:16
1 u/None 11 Jul 2020 14:59
1 u/WinstonThe9th [OP] 11 Jul 2020 15:11
1 u/None 11 Jul 2020 19:06
1 u/wagesj45 12 Jul 2020 06:38
1 u/WinstonThe9th [OP] 12 Jul 2020 07:33
1 u/WinstonThe9th [OP] 11 Jul 2020 14:16