It was inspired by this paper. I just completed the JHU Getting & Cleaning data coursea course and wanted a project to work on, but I also wanted to make something that was genuinely interesting that I could show people.
My data source ended up going ghost ( http://stats.grok.se) so not everything is updated, and am going to start using Wikipedia's API to scrape for views. With technical analysis being as popular as it is in finance, I just thought it would be an interesting visualization given the accompanying literature.
I think there is merit to the idea that since the whole world is wired it seems likely that there is sufficient signal from the internet to predict movement. I wouldn't be surprised if someone is already looking into it. Of course if it works it will end up with computers playing against other computers and using post bots to influence what they other computer will do or what they can force force people to do :)
On the other hand after thinking about it for a minute the amount of noise is staggering...
Do you know that as of 2013 upwards of 75% of all stock trades are being formulated, priced, and carried out by AI?
Ironically, what humans think is no longer as relevant as what AIs think we'll think. Although at this point of the metagame maybe that's not even true anymore since I'm sure the AIs are tuned to optimize performance against market conditions which would be primarily other AI, further reducing the relevance of human behavior.
I do think the fundamental idea is neat though. I wonder if there's a correlation in polling numbers and Wiki topic views though.
5 comments
2 u/OPTIMUS_LINE 24 Jun 2016 03:15
This is very interesting, how did you come up with the idea?
1 u/DomDellaSera [OP] 24 Jun 2016 03:21
It was inspired by this paper. I just completed the JHU Getting & Cleaning data coursea course and wanted a project to work on, but I also wanted to make something that was genuinely interesting that I could show people.
1 u/DomDellaSera [OP] 24 Jun 2016 03:15
My data source ended up going ghost ( http://stats.grok.se) so not everything is updated, and am going to start using Wikipedia's API to scrape for views. With technical analysis being as popular as it is in finance, I just thought it would be an interesting visualization given the accompanying literature.
0 u/DickHertz 22 Jul 2016 05:41
I think there is merit to the idea that since the whole world is wired it seems likely that there is sufficient signal from the internet to predict movement. I wouldn't be surprised if someone is already looking into it. Of course if it works it will end up with computers playing against other computers and using post bots to influence what they other computer will do or what they can force force people to do :)
On the other hand after thinking about it for a minute the amount of noise is staggering...
0 u/rwbj 10 Aug 2016 11:34
Do you know that as of 2013 upwards of 75% of all stock trades are being formulated, priced, and carried out by AI?
Ironically, what humans think is no longer as relevant as what AIs think we'll think. Although at this point of the metagame maybe that's not even true anymore since I'm sure the AIs are tuned to optimize performance against market conditions which would be primarily other AI, further reducing the relevance of human behavior.
I do think the fundamental idea is neat though. I wonder if there's a correlation in polling numbers and Wiki topic views though.